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Yield Curve & Interest Rates and how they affect Inflation & The Stock Market


D. H. Taylor
(@dhtaylor)
Member Admin
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 689
Topic starter  

I am going to continually update the interest rate outlook with regard to the US Economy.  For now, the yield curve is moderate.  The interest rate cycle has plenty of room for moves to the upside. Simultaneously, there is information that shows inflation is moderating.  

Watch this video to get a good sense of what is happening with the Yield Curve & Interest Rates


Quote
D. H. Taylor
(@dhtaylor)
Member Admin
Joined: 2 years ago
Posts: 689
Topic starter  

The "10/2" relationship is the difference between the yield in the 10-year & 2-year US government notes.  This relationship tells a significant story about where interest rates are with regard to the current cycle.  As the "front months" those interest rates that are closer to current dates versus the "long end", such as the 10-year Treasury note, tells us that there may be changes in the interest rate environment.  That could tell us that the stock market may start moving relative to these changes.  

Absolutely keep track of the 10-/2 difference (Check the image below)


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